| 紀錄類型: |
書目-電子資源
: 單行本
|
| 合作者: |
De FrancoChiara, 1977- |
| 合作者: |
MeyerChristoph O., 1973- |
| 其他團體作者: |
Palgrave Connect (Online service) |
| 出版地: |
Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire New York |
| 出版者: |
Palgrave Macmillan; |
| 出版年: |
c2011 |
| 面頁冊數: |
1 online resource (xiv, 285 p.)ill. : |
| 標題: |
Risk - Forecasting. - |
| 標題: |
Risk assessment. - |
| 標題: |
Emergency management. - |
| 標題: |
Social Science. - |
| 標題: |
NATURE - Natural Disasters. - |
| 標題: |
SOCIAL SCIENCE - Disasters & Disaster Relief. - |
| 電子資源: |
http://www.palgraveconnect.com/doifinder/10.1057/9780230316911An electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click for information |
| 附註: |
Description based on print version record. |
| 摘要註: |
What does it take to recognise and prevent hazards with international causes and consequences? How can we handle the risks related to financial instability, terrorism, pandemics, air pollution, flooding and climate change? The book brings together scholars and senior practitioners from different areas to conceptualise and empirically study the interlinked problems of forecasting, warning and mobilising preventive action. Contributors comment on key problems such as uncertainty, silo-mentality, spotting weak-signals, cultures of blame, conflicts of interest and divergent risk perceptions, but are also sensitive to differences between actors and types of risk. The overall thrust is to challenge both technocratic and popularised accounts of the warning-response problem. Successful prevention or mitigation involves difficult cognitive, normative and political judgements. Whilst these difficulties cannot be eliminated, contributors suggest ways in which organisations, journalists, scientists and decision-makers can at least mitigate them. |
| ISBN: |
9780230316911electronic bk. |
| ISBN: |
0230316913electronic bk. |
| ISBN: |
9780230308831 (electronic) |
| ISBN: |
023030883X (electronic) |
| ISBN: |
9786613266637 |
| ISBN: |
6613266639 |
| 內容註: |
Introduction: The Challenges of Prevention; C. De Franco & C.O. Meyer PART I: FORECASTING HARM The Coastline of The Future: Some Limits on Forecasting and Prediction; D. Omand Epistemology of Forecasting in International Relations: Knowing the Difference between 'Intelligence Failure' and 'Warning Failure'; J. Goldman Foresec: Lessons Learnt from a Pan-European Security Foresight Project; V. Brummer, C. Burnley, H. Carlsen, A. Duta, B. Giegerich & R. Magoni Modelling Transnational Environmental Risks: Scenarios for Decision Support; F. Wagner Risk, Uncertainty and the Assessment of Organised Crime; T. Van Der Beken PART II: COMMUNICATING AND LEARNING FROM WARNINGS Mediatised Warnings: Late, Wrong, Yet Indispensable? Lessons from Climate Change and Civil War; C. De Franco & C.O. Meyer Do They Listen? Communicating Warnings: An Intelligence Practitioners Perspective; W. Shapcott Responding to early flood warnings in the European Union; D. Demeritt & S. Nobert Dark Secrets: Face-Work, Organizational Culture and Disaster Prevention; M.S. Gerstein & E.H. Schein PART III: RESPONDING TO WARNINGS Transnational Risk Management: A Business Perspective; C. Crossin & J. Smither From the 'Neurotic' to the 'Rationalising' State: Risk and the Limits of Governance; H. Rothstein, O. Borraz & M. Huber Ilos and Silences: The Role of Fragmentation in the Recent Financial Crisis; G. Tett Forecasting, Warning and Preventive Policy: The Case of Finance; T.F. Huertas Prospective Sense-Making: A Realistic Approach to 'Foresight for Prevention' in an Age of Complex Threats; W.H. Fishbein Conclusion: New Perspectives for Theorising and Addressing Transnational Risks; C.O. Meyer & C. De Franco. |